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Analysis

Build Best/Likely/Worst Case Scenarios

Builds three parallel plans for a strategic decision that's too uncertain for a single-point forecast. - Inputs: the decision, timeframe, key uncertainties, and affected stakeholders - Per scenario (best/likely/worst): assumptions, probability estimate, business impact - Also covers: leading indicators to watch and preparation steps for each case - Output: a monitorable watchlist, not just three narratives

Prompt
Build scenario plans for:

Decision: {decision}
Timeframe: {timeframe}
Key uncertainties: {key_uncertainties}
Stakeholders: {stakeholders}

Develop 3 scenarios:
1. Best case
2. Most likely case
3. Worst case

For each scenario:
- Key assumptions
- Probability estimate
- Business impact
- Leading indicators
- Response strategy
- Preparation steps
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